Blog

What a timestamp proves, what it doesn't, how it fits next to patents and copyright, and how to track and prove predictions.

Defensive Publication: Publish Prior Art Instead of Patenting

If you only need to stop others from patenting your idea, publishing it can be enough. What counts as prior art, where to publish, and what a timestamp adds.

Prediction Tracker: Why Write Your Predictions Down

Memory rewrites what you predicted. A dated record does not. How to track predictions, and which tools do which part of the job.

Public Accountability: What the Research Actually Says

Announcing a goal can help — or backfire. What studies show, which tools add real stakes, and where a dated public claim fits.

How to Make Better Predictions: 7 Evidence-Based Habits

Base rates, decomposition, calibration and honest scoring — the methods forecasting research keeps pointing back to.

Prediction Market Alternatives: 6 Ways to Track Forecasts

You do not need a market to forecast well. Forecasting platforms, team methods, and personal logs — what each is good for.

Why Experts Get Predictions Wrong — and Who Does Better

Two decades of forecasting research, what it really found about experts, and the habits of the forecasters who beat them.

Can't Afford a Patent Yet? What to Do First

A timestamp is not a patent. Here is what it is good for while you decide whether to file one.

Can You Patent an Idea? What the Law Actually Says

The short answer is no. The real answer is more useful than you think.

The Poor Man's Patent: Why Mailing Yourself an Envelope Doesn't Work

The old trick has no legal basis. Here is what a modern timestamp fixes — and what it still does not.

How to Protect Your Business Idea From Being Stolen

5 practical steps before you share your idea with anyone.

Proof of Existence: What a Timestamp Proves — and What It Doesn't

From code to content to inventions — if you made it, keep dated evidence.

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